Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.389052 0.425658 0.464733 0.509640 0.559939 0.614670 0.678903
2026-01-11 0.330590 0.381940 0.440522 0.512705 0.599802 0.702195 0.832701
2026-01-18 0.295678 0.354235 0.424100 0.514410 0.629234 0.771945 0.965256
2026-01-25 0.271766 0.335133 0.413503 0.518841 0.658700 0.840867 1.100879
2026-02-01 0.246956 0.311670 0.394057 0.508381 0.665708 0.878849 1.196975
2026-02-08 0.231346 0.298195 0.385589 0.510491 0.688247 0.938228 1.327762
2026-02-15 0.216033 0.283589 0.373969 0.506533 0.700902 0.983573 1.441684
2026-02-22 0.204770 0.273434 0.367310 0.508428 0.721328 1.041163 1.579856
2026-03-01 0.192399 0.260749 0.355980 0.502257 0.728590 1.078635 1.689161
2026-03-08 0.180876 0.248439 0.344199 0.494219 0.731814 1.109343 1.789798
2026-03-15 0.168563 0.234201 0.328615 0.479074 0.722255 1.117955 1.852301
2026-03-22 0.163937 0.230894 0.328908 0.488330 0.752384 1.194649 2.045426
2026-03-29 0.158627 0.226361 0.327203 0.494518 0.778377 1.267612 2.243233
2026-04-05 0.152920 0.220895 0.323710 0.497517 0.799182 1.333535 2.436940
2026-04-12 0.147379 0.215334 0.319658 0.499161 0.817532 1.396499 2.633220
2026-04-19 0.142843 0.211063 0.317338 0.503432 0.840720 1.470562 2.863259
2026-04-26 0.135666 0.202227 0.307118 0.493348 0.836736 1.491723 2.981085
2026-05-03 0.131438 0.197891 0.303993 0.495383 0.855351 1.559090 3.212678
2026-05-10 0.126377 0.191945 0.297846 0.491567 0.862396 1.603543 3.397520
2026-05-17 0.122703 0.188082 0.294964 0.493394 0.880414 1.672414 3.652071
2026-05-24 0.117876 0.182079 0.288113 0.487443 0.882453 1.707310 3.827164
2026-05-31 0.113039 0.175849 0.280560 0.479693 0.880193 1.732499 3.981139
2026-06-07 0.107344 0.167939 0.269718 0.465086 0.862740 1.722101 4.038619